Investor Soiree Butler Tullow Oil TLW.L

Tullow OilTullow Oil plc (Tullow) is an United Kingdom -based company engaged in oil and gas exploration, development and production and the sale of hydrocarbons and related activities. It operates in three geographical segments: Europe, South America and Asia; West and North Africa and South and East Africa. The Company has interests in over 100 production and exploration licences in 22 countries and focuses on four core areas: Africa, Europe, South Asia and South America.
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  • The BF is a BF by TheHenry
    Sun, 29 Nov 2015 09:36:00 GMT

    Morning folks, I was just re-reading that piece in the Times--you know--the interview with the BF.
    Seems his property is worth more than his Tullow shares. Dublin London Barbados Switzerland. Then there is the fleet of cars. Also Mrs BF--an entrant in Miss Ireland once upon a time. Golf--he's been playing for years and has put tens of thousands of hours and hundreds of thousands of pounds into it. But he plays off 12--not impressive. One field in impoverished Ghana paying for the lot--its been producing for 5 years and production is probably going to fall off a cliff at any moment. Then there is the BFs assertion that the African governments have / will not allow Tullow to be taken over. I do not believe a word of that. The Ghanaians would love to have a credible operator running Jubilee. The Ugandans would love to have a strong US operator able to control Chinese and French state controlled outfits. The Kenyans are looking enviously at progress that credible operators are making elsewhere on the east coast of Africa. The Mauritanians must be mighty pleased they've got Kosmos looking for oil instead of Tullow. The Guineans must be wishing they'd never let Tullow into their waters. IMO the BF's assertion is pure BS designed to confuse investors who are wondering why no company had moved in on Tullow even after the SP collapse.
    It's not right that guys like the BF get to make millions when his investors lose billions.
    If you are thinking about investing in Tullow, ignore Brummell and maybe wait for the BF to go. If you're already an investor lobby for the BF to go. That is my opinion.
    I want to thank the great Misterx1 and the late great Silversnout for posting on this board and showing some of us the way. Guys (or gals), you saved me from greater losses which enabled me to make some big gains elsewhere.
    P.S. The BF. The Big Fella? The B****y Fool more like. By TheHenry
  • Re: Mucho more evidence by ESTABLISH THE FACTS
    Sat, 28 Nov 2015 10:47:00 GMT

    I am a little confused by the last paragraph which suggest a share price valuation of 438 pence.

    More interestingly the IG suggest the following.
    Strong buy
    Strong sell

    I shall contemplate an increase in my holding over the weekend with a five year view. Tullow are well hedged for 2016 and I thank you for this link which I missed. By ESTABLISH THE FACTS
  • Mucho more evidence by MisterX1
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 23:38:00 GMT

    Mucho more evidence now creeping out of the woodwork to support what wise punters knew all along - the poo will continue to remain low for quite some years to comedespite all the guff about how it will quickly bonce up again.

    This will simply prolong any "dream state" rise in the sp and could well increase the possibility of some very serious consequences for companies like tlw.

    DYOR - you know it makes sense.

    By MisterX1
  • Gone in by tornadotony
    Thu, 26 Nov 2015 16:02:00 GMT

    Just above 202 and as before a modest position. This time will average down on serious dips. Determined to get a win here. Have gone against my rules regarding the gap at 164-180 area.

    By tornadotony
  • Re: From WSJ by gubu
    Thu, 26 Nov 2015 12:56:00 GMT

    interesting article - and a bit scary

    but the KSA tactics must be the most extreme example of cutting off your nose to spite your face

    if they pumped 1m bbls a day less they would probably generate 75% more cash assuming the PoO went up to $80 or thereabouts

    they probably don't want to lose face by backing down now, but how are they going to pay for their expensive military toys if this keeps going on?
    By gubu
  • Re: Where are the Dueling Duo? by brummell
    Thu, 26 Nov 2015 02:22:00 GMT

    ".is that what you call a temporary ban these days is it "

    More nonsense that proves that X1 will say anything to manipulate. Check with iii yourself if you have the slightest inclination to believe him. By brummell
  • From WSJ by JoeyTheFox
    Wed, 25 Nov 2015 17:25:00 GMT

    SAM ORI: The biggest number in oil markets this week was 30—as in, the price of a barrel of U.S. benchmark oil dipped into the 30s on Thursday, a symbolic indicator of the serious financial pain being felt by producers around the world.

    With this latest dip in prices, we can expect to see continued signs that OPEC’s market share strategy announced last November is having an impact.

    Global oil demand growth is on pace for its third strongest year of this century. American motorists have taken to the roads in record numbers—increasingly in pickup trucks and SUVs. And global upstream oil investment has plummeted for two consecutive years, something not seen since the early 1980s.

    Despite all this, it is the latest data out of the U.S. shale patch that markets should be focused on.

    And contrary to what you might expect, it should have OPEC—Saudi Arabia in particular—beginning to worry. Despite a 63% drop in rigs drilling for oil in the three key shale regions since last November, oil production in those regions has barely budged from peak levels in 2015.

    In fact, new wells in the Bakken are pumping up to 50% more oil than those drilled at the beginning of 2015. Operators are finding ways to do more with less.

    A debate is raging among oil watchers about whether these efficiency gains are permanent or simply a result of focusing on the best drilling locations.

    But evidence suggests that there is still enormous room for improvements in shale industry economics. Consider this: a recently released working paper that examined industry practices across more than 4,000 wells suggests that the shale oil industry in North Dakota alone might have left as much as $36 billion in profits on the table between 2005 and 2012.


    It turns out that most operators didn’t systematically experiment with their fracking techniques. Instead, innovation occurred somewhat randomly and almost exclusively after companies started to see something new working over a period. In other words, firms were risk averse with their technology choices.

    With oil prices at $100 per barrel, they had that luxury.

    So here is a prediction: the current price environment will force the U.S. shale oil industry to get its act together to focus on more purposeful—and longer lasting—innovation. As a result, U.S. oil production will be stronger for longer than most people expect, pushing the oil price recovery back by several years.

    If you think this kind of resilience is without precedent, just look at natural gas. There are 199 rigs drilling for natural gas today, down from more than 1,600 in 2008. During the period when low natural gas prices were reshaping that industry, we heard a lot of the same talk we now hear about shale oil: high marginal costs and unsustainable investment needs were supposed to lead to plummeting production. And yet, U.S. shale gas production today is at record levels even as prices test new lows.

    The idea that shale oil could be as durable as shale gas must be a frightening prospect for OPEC. Last month, the IMF warned that even Saudi Arabia is starting to feel the pinch of low oil prices.

    In betting against innovation, OPEC picked the wrong strategy.

    Sam Ori is the executive
    By JoeyTheFox
  • Re: Where are the Dueling Duo? by MisterX1
    Wed, 25 Nov 2015 14:42:00 GMT

    eric, out of the country at the moment without reliable internet connection but I'll still be keeping an eye on things.
    .... that what you call a temporary ban these days is it ??

    And yes Eric - DYOR - any share that for nearly 4 years has been on a cataclysmic decline speaks volumes - 90 % decline, unceremoniously relegated from the FTSE 100, has kept UG and Kenya in a perpetual state of no progress, a BG that says the poo is gonna hit $75 bbl by year end[lol] you get the drift ....bad management is an apt way to describe any such decline in the fortunes of a company - as most would have changed their management by now. But not tlw.

    Those are the REAL facts amptly illustrated across the websites, news reports and practically every other medium you can imagine

    This rampers comment that suggests its "gossip" should be ignored at all costs - its delusional....
    By MisterX1
  • Re: Where are the Dueling Duo? by brummell
    Wed, 25 Nov 2015 13:15:00 GMT

    eric, out of the country at the moment without reliable internet connection but I'll still be keeping an eye on things.

    I see that we seem to have renewed deramping interests, a sure sign that the some short sellers are wanting to close.

    As for me, no obsession, simply solid opinions based on my own research that won't be swayed by manipulators. Basic facts are that TLW is well managed, as amply demonstrated by operational success; the company reacted sensibly and rapidly to the fall in the oil price; there is a big increase in production coming; imho the oil price will recover (albeit with volatility), it is simply the timescale that is in question; the political and economic scenes are moving towards a scenario that will push the oil price up.

    In the meantime dyor and don't be swayed by unsupported nonsense that doesn't even qualify as gossip. By brummell
  • Re: Big Fella Staying Put So AVOID by MisterX1
    Wed, 25 Nov 2015 00:49:00 GMT

    Frankly - the BF don't care - all he has to do is give himself a big bonus, and a salary rise timed well [so it don't look too obvious] and he will have his mega millions back - all done without even having to work to see the SP rise - you know - the one that al the punters thought was gonna make them mega money

    Will be interesting to see how the BF will explain away the predicted $75 bbl poo by the end of the year statement - that WILL for sure raise questions as to the "intellectual" capability of the BF and his judgement as to the future direction of tlw may well give cause for concern.lets face it - having seen the sp drop by over 50% even BEFORE the poo was used as an excuse for tlw to blame the catastrophic drop in the SP - will indeed be a spectacle to look forward to.

    And you can bet many a punter will be taken in by all the guff..

    By MisterX1
  • Big Fella Staying Put So AVOID by TheHenry
    Tue, 24 Nov 2015 20:45:00 GMT

    At the risk of being accused of being a doppelgänger, here goes....
    The CEO aka Big Fella - BF for short - holds 6million shares worth around £12million.
    Once upon a time, his holding was worth over £100million.
    The £12million sounds good but it hardly puts him up there where he probably thinks he should be.
    That's probably why he doesn't fancy a takeover. He'd be lucky to get £20million.
    So he's staying put on a giant remuneration with fingers crossed that the oil price booms.
    And if that doesn't do it, he'll start gambling big with shareholders funds on high cost high impact wells.
    Not really who you want leading your company.
    So I have to agree with the great MisterX1 and the late great Silversnout....avoid whilst BF remains at the wheel.
    Harry By TheHenry
  • Re: Where are the Dueling Duo? by ooh ah eric
    Mon, 23 Nov 2015 10:18:00 GMT

    Have they ever been seen in the same room together?

    Brummell's obsession and MisterX's bitterness maybe two sides of he same coin.

    E By ooh ah eric
  • Re: Time to wet the toes? by MisterX1
    Sun, 22 Nov 2015 16:07:00 GMT

    When I held em, I had a neighbour who worked for em. he warned me it was overpriced and left the company and the area shortly after.

    I also warned you a while ago - even a blind man could see it was overpriced.

    As for the Big Fella well.$75 bbl by year end....intellect indeed make what you want out of that....

    By MisterX1
  • Re: Where are the Dueling Duo? by MisterX1
    Sun, 22 Nov 2015 16:05:00 GMT

    So where have they gone?
    She is here darlink' ...updates soon on the situation - takes a little while ..??!!

    For now... By MisterX1
  • Time to wet the toes? by TheHenry
    Sun, 22 Nov 2015 13:12:00 GMT

    Hi folks
    It seems like forever ago when I owned this dog
    I took a hit when I sold but look at it now198p
    When I held em, I had a neighbour who worked for em. he warned me it was overpriced and left the company and the area shortly after.
    I've been thinking of investing for a while but Ive been put of by oil price concerns, sector concerns and also the rubbish coming out of the CEOs mouth in recent Sunday Times pieceBig Fella they call him.big pay packet and big head is for certain.not so sure about intellect.
    I might well drop by here from time to time.
    By TheHenry
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 18:57:29 GMT

    Not a great day at all, blame China they spooked the market today ( black Friday trading). Lol
  • TLW
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 17:24:32 GMT

    picked some up at 198.2 so happy with that :>)
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 16:49:49 GMT

    not a great day for oil stocks. may see the oil price recover after the close.
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 14:10:27 GMT

    picked up a few more at 2.002
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 13:02:36 GMT

    Moving up again and so is oil.
  • Oil prices
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 12:38:17 GMT

    Is moving now!!
  • brace yourself rodders
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 12:36:26 GMT

    Nice one, you will definitely make a profit from your £2 buy.
  • brace yourself rodders
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 12:27:08 GMT

    just the usual pull back a couple of hours before US markets open.
  • Tree shake
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 12:26:28 GMT

    This was a definite tree shaking as it drops quickly and now bouncing back!!
  • brace yourself rodders
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 12:15:51 GMT

    What's causing this big pull back??
  • brace yourself rodders
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 11:20:24 GMT

    stocks pulling back. watch glencore pull back.
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 10:20:28 GMT

    OPHR, I suppose it will pull if nothing become of this M&A talk.
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 10:12:50 GMT

    OPHR will pull back at some point. barchart showing supports at 93.5 and then 85.75
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 09:41:21 GMT

    Yeah I hope it move out of these levels and into 215 and above levels, we shall see what happens from 2pm today?
  • SP
    Fri, 27 Nov 2015 09:30:19 GMT

    it seems stuck in the middle of a small range an the moment. should be more of an exciting day today with US markets open. i see OPHR pulled back a little this morning but holding £1 just.